Impact & evidence

Reach is necessary. It is not the same as impact.

We do not measure success by attendance, publications or books distributed alone. We aim to show evidence of learning applied, leadership exercised, community value created and effective practices adopted beyond a single event or funding cycle.

The honest position

Verified

What we can stand behind today

  • The external evidence base on this site: every statistic checked against its original source in October 2026.
  • Our published frameworks: Culture Engineering, Homo Completum and this measurement approach.
In development

What we are building now

  • Pilot designs for Purpose Clubs, CE 101 and the Project 100,000 founding cycle in Nigeria.
  • Baselines, indicator definitions, consent processes and a first evidence system.
Not yet claimed

What we will not claim until it is verified

  • Learners reached, schools onboarded, clubs active or books distributed.
  • Any change in young people's lives or communities attributed to our work.

01 Theory of change

Research → capability → action → adoption → enduring value.

When people understand their purpose, develop practical competencies and work with supportive institutions, they are better positioned to solve real problems. When institutions adopt what works, individual effort can become collective capability. Every transition requires evidence, feedback and adaptation.

Theory of change diagram Five rays, one for each stage of change, radiate from an origin point across five concentric arcs that represent the levels of contribution: individual, group, institution, community and system. The selected stage highlights the levels where it mainly works. 01 RESEARCH 02 CAPABILITY 03 ACTION 04 ADOPTION 05 ENDURING VALUE L1 Individual L2 Group L3 Institution L4 Community L5 System
Rays are stages. Arcs are levels of contribution, from the individual (inner) to the system (outer). Measure, learn and adapt at every stage.

We listen before we intervene.

Research and listening with communities, schools and institutions; reviewing evidence; diagnosing the behavioural and systemic patterns that reproduce a problem.

Works mainly at
Institution · Community · System
Evidence
Evidence reviews, baseline studies, cultural diagnostics
Test before moving on
Do we understand the context well enough to co-design with the people affected?

Our contribution across five levels

Critical assumptions

Participation does not guarantee transformation.

Our theory depends on programme quality, safe delivery, accessible participation, supportive schools and partners, sustained opportunities to practise, and credible measurement. We will test these assumptions and report both positive and disappointing findings rather than attributing all observed change to our interventions.

Assumptions Project 100,000 must test in its pilots
  • Young people will voluntarily find the content relevant.
  • Schools can assign functioning teacher patrons.
  • Mixed public and private financing will remain equitable.
  • Short-form stories can guide some young people toward deeper learning.
  • Service experiences can reinforce beneficial norms.
  • Local content can travel across borders without erasing diversity.

Each assumption needs pilot evidence, a threshold and the capacity to change course.

02 The measurement ladder

Beyond counting activities. We measure the change behind the numbers.

Five levels of evidence, from reach to durable outcomes. Each rung answers a different question—and each has limits. A programme can report a lower rung without claiming the ones above it.

The question

Who was engaged—and who was missed?

Illustrative indicators

  • Unique learners reached
  • Active schools
  • Club enrolments
  • Book distribution with verified receipt
  • Participant inclusion

What it cannot tell us

Whether anyone learned or changed anything. Reach is necessary, but it is not impact.

Four measures we never conflate

One headline number would be easier. It would also be misleading.

For Project 100,000, the 100-million ambition counts distinct under-18s who completed a defined, meaningful engagement—not views or impressions. Channels are verified separately, with overlap and uncertainty reported.

Diagram not to scale

A Exposure
Views, impressions and event attendance. Reported as gross exposure only; never added automatically to unique reach.
B Qualified reach
A distinct person documented as completing a qualifying learning encounter, guided module or supervised intervention—deduplicated where lawful and technically defensible. This is the unit of the 100-million ambition.
C Sustained participation
Involvement across a defined cycle—for example, at least six facilitated sessions or an equivalent verified pathway.
D Outcomes & durability
Age-appropriate changes in skills and action, service-project quality, club continuity and institutional practice—with limitations stated.

03 Scorecard & evidence standard

A decision-useful scorecard. Evidence should inform action.

Every metric has an owner, a definition, a source, a baseline, a target and a verification method. Reach is reported separately from outcomes; outputs are distinguished from behaviour change.

People

Who takes part, and who stays.

Learners, retention, equity of access.

Capability

What people can now do.

Assessed skills, project evidence, progression.

Community

What improved locally.

Active clubs, partner feedback, local outcomes.

Systems

What institutions kept.

Institutional uptake, continuity, replication.

Anatomy of an indicator

Illustrative example
PC-12

Purpose Clubs active twelve months after launch

Definition
A club that held at least one supervised session in each month of the most recent term, verified by the school.
Unit
Clubs (count and %)
Numerator / denominator
Active clubs at month 12 ÷ clubs launched in the cohort
Target population
Partner schools in the pilot cluster
Disaggregation
School type, region — aggregate only
Baseline
Established at pilot launch
Target
Agreed with school partners before launch
Data owner
Community Programmes lead
Verification
School-verified club register; termly activity audit
Frequency
Termly; 6- and 12-month review
Consent / legal basis
School partnership agreement; no student-level data
Known limitations
Activity is not quality; paired with session observation

Action taken in response to results is recorded alongside every reading.

Five dimensions of every impact claim

We apply the “What, Who, How much, Contribution, Risk” lens used in the GIIN's IRIS+ system.7

  1. What

    Which outcome occurs, and how important is it to the people experiencing it?

  2. Who

    Who experiences it, and how underserved were they before?

  3. How much

    How many people, how deep the change, and for how long?

  4. Contribution

    What would likely have happened without the programme?

  5. Risk

    How likely is it that impact differs from what we expect—and what could go wrong?

Privacy by design: disaggregated but non-identifying analysis where lawful and useful, informed consent, appropriate retention periods, accessible feedback channels and incident escalation. We do not publish identifying information about children.

04 Programme measurement register

How each programme will be measured.

A practical register for converting ambitions into verified reporting. Methods will be refined with partners during pilots.

Programme measurement register: primary outcome and measurement method for each programme
ProgrammePrimary outcomeMeasurement method & cadenceStatus
CE 101Demonstrated introductory Culture Engineering competencies and ethical field application.Pre/post assessment; project rubric; mentor review; completion + 3-month follow-up.In development
Homo CompletumImproved purpose clarity, relational capacity and action planning.Validated or adapted reflection rubric; baseline/endline; 3/6-month self-report with safeguards.Developing framework
Purpose ClubsSustained student participation and responsible local leadership.School-verified club register; attendance; termly activity audit; 6/12-month continuity.Pilot model
Project 100,000Meaningful engagement with purpose materials and onward learning.Distribution logs + receipt validation; opt-in follow-up; club and course conversion.Target
OnPurpose TourIncreased awareness and uptake of ongoing development pathways.Event logs; feedback; opt-in follow-up; onward participation.In development
Social Value StudioClient and community outcomes against contracted objectives.Baseline; partner dashboards; milestone verification; outcome review; final report.Open for enquiries
Futures LabsSolutions tested, improved and adopted by partners.Pilot protocol; user feedback; outcome measures; adoption and cost assessment.Planned

05 Impact dashboard

Verified results will appear here. Nothing else will.

The dashboard separates planned or approved figures, work in progress and independently verified results. Switch to the demonstration view to see how reporting will look once pilots begin.

Verified results · 0 published

No verified outcome data has been published yet.

Programmes are in development. Reporting will begin after the first pilot cycle, with independent review of selected outcomes planned for the 12–24-month “Demonstrate” horizon of our roadmap.

Will be reported

  • Schools onboarded and Purpose Clubs active
  • Qualified reach (distinct, deduplicated)
  • Books with verified receipt
  • Facilitators trained and supervised

Alongside

  • Learning and participation outcomes
  • Student-led service projects verified
  • 6- and 12-month continuity
  • Safety, equity and incident resolution

With

  • Definitions and denominators
  • Data source and verification method
  • Uncertainty and known limitations
  • Null findings and unintended effects

06 How we label claims

Every claim on this site carries its status.

A mission statement is not evidence of delivery. These labels distinguish verified facts from work in progress, plans, ambitions and examples. Each uses a distinct shape as well as colour.

Verified

Checked against an original source or a verified operational record. Today this covers external statistics, each linked to its source.

Open for enquiries

Something you can act on now through this site, such as commissioning the Social Value Studio or expressing interest in a Purpose Club.

In development

Designed and being refined or piloted, such as CE 101 and the Purpose Club model. Not yet a measured result.

Developing framework

An intellectual model we are building and testing in practice: Culture Engineering and Homo Completum.

Planned

A proposed initiative or capability that is not yet operating, such as Futures Labs, ACES or the Purpose Media Platform.

Target

A defined goal for a stated period—for example, placing 100,000 books in structured learning journeys in the founding Nigerian cycle. Not a reported total.

Long-term ambition

A decade-scale aspiration—meaningfully reaching 100 million distinct under-18s across Africa within ten years. Not a forecast or a result.

Illustrative

A hypothetical example used to explain a model, such as a student's journey or a sample indicator.

Demonstration data

Invented numbers that show how a dashboard or tool will work. Never presented as real.

Prototype

A working interface not yet connected to production systems, such as the Academy dashboard preview.

Our reporting commitments

  • 01

    No fabricated baselines.

  • 02

    No outputs presented as outcomes.

  • 03

    No unverified attribution.

We will publish null findings, unintended effects and equity gaps. We will use independent evaluation for material outcome and continental impact claims. And we will distinguish verified results, independent evidence, illustrative targets and future ambitions in every public report.